MSD / Gegenbefund / RESEARCH EDITION

Industrial automation can displace employment

Acemoglu and Restrepo examine historical US labor markets with varying exposure to industrial robots and find negative local employment and wage effects.

Jetzt eintauchen ↓RECHERCHESTAND 12.11.2026 · FAKTEN + EINORDNUNG + SZENARIEN
RESEARCH NOTE / 2017Gegenbefund

Wirtschaft & Arbeit

External research · MSD classification
Keine Behauptung eines eigenen Versuchs.

01 / EINORDNUNG

What this finding means.

Grenzen des Nachweises

Local historical effects are not identical to global net effects or a forecast for German operations in year 2035.

Our derivation for a pilot operation

A transformation strategy requires new activities, qualifications and demand. Technical efficiency alone does not answer the distribution question.

This derivation is an editorial recommendation from MSD. It is not a further result of the study cited.

Source and version

Acemoglu & Restrepo · NBER 23285 · Publikations-/Bezugsjahr 2017. Recherchiert am 12.11.2026.

Read primary source ↗

External research, not an MSD customer reference. We will only publish our own experiments with their setup, date, measurements and documented failed attempts.

02 / LINKS

Think ahead. Keep checking.

Wirtschaft & Arbeit / Befund / 2023

KI im Support: messbarer Nutzen, ungleich verteilt ↗

5,179 Support staff form the basis of the NBER working paper. With assistance, the number of issues resolved per hour increased by an average of 14%. New and less experienced forces particularly benefited.

Brynjolfsson, Li & Raymond · NBER 31161
Economics & Work / Context / 2025

Exposure is not a layoff forecast ↗

The refined ILO index examines which occupational activities could be exposed to generative AI. It assesses technical exposure, not actual decisions to cut jobs.

ILO · Working Paper 140
Wirtschaft & Arbeit / Mechanismus / 2018

The J-curve: rebuild first, harvest later ↗

Brynjolfsson, Rock, and Syverson explain how complementary investments in organization and knowledge can delay the measured benefits of an enabling technology.

NBER · Productivity J-Curve